· Desk editor: Sara Farooq · · Single source

Climate risk drives multinationals away from vulnerable developing nations

New analysis shows multinational corporations are reducing investment in climate-vulnerable countries as extreme weather events increase global economic uncertainty.

Extreme weather risk is scaring big corporations away from poorer countries—that hurts the companies, too
File photo Extreme weather risk is scaring big corporations away from poorer countries—that hurts the companies, too Photo: Phys.org

Investment patterns shift globally

Research indicates that countries facing higher climate vulnerability receive significantly less foreign direct investment. A study of 159 nations found a 12 percent drop in investment for every one-point rise in climate risk scores. This trend affects low- and middle-income regions most severely because they lack resources to recover from disasters. Companies often avoid these areas without explicitly stating their reasons, yet the financial data reveals a clear pattern.

Specific corporate decisions halt

An environmental court revoked the permit for Google's US$200 million data center project in Chile, causing the company to halt construction. Microsoft and G42 delayed a billion dollar project in Kenya due to water stress concerns. In Vietnam, typhoons caused $475 million in damage to energy and transport infrastructure during 2022 alone. Unreliable local costs added another $280 million for businesses operating there that year.

Financial impacts on firms

Firms reporting major flood losses saw a 5 percent average decline in shareholder value the following year. Severe flooding in Thailand in 2011 forced Toyota, Nissan and Honda to suspend production temporarily. These events demonstrate how climate hazards directly impact corporate profitability and long-term strategic planning for global brands.

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